A thunderstorm prediction technique based on a perfect-prog approach

"We have developed a thunderstorm prediction technique for use with a mesoscale model to satisfy Air Force Weather's Theater Battle Management (TBM) stated requirement for maximum cloud tops and coverage. The prediction technique is to be implemented in the Global Theater/Weather Analysis and Prediction system (GTWAPS). A perfect-prog approach was implemented using synoptic and subsynoptic-scale data for diagnosis and short-range probability forecasts. Future work is discussed, including, most importantly, follow-on testing and refinements of the techniques."--Report documentation page.